Wednesday, June 8. 2011Wireless Broadband Will Never Be As Good As ADSL.....John Linton let alone the 'NBN2'.....because - well - because stupid and ignorant people without a clue say things like that. Telstra's switch on of LTE services yesterday: http://technologyspectator.com.au/industry/telecommunications/telstra-4g-strategic-call in four capital city CBDs continues to demonstrate that the planned development path for wireless telephony and data services that has been in place for the best part of 30 years continues to meet its published milestones either on or before the scheduled dates. For many people, including me and other Exetel managers as well as well over ten thousand of Exetel's customers, using wireless broadband in Australia and around the world has become the only broadband service we use outside our various workplaces. Of course we don't use a Telstra service but the Optus/Exetel service we do use is a more than adequate replacement of ADSL - and its at a much lower cost........ ......and that has become, as it was always going to, the key issue. For $35.00 a month any user can obtain a 9 gb plan that, for over 50% of Exetel broadband users is more than their combined upload and download monthly usage. Ignoring the massive advantage of wireless broadband (that it can be used anywhere that a signal is available in Australia or anywhere else in the world) the continuing increase in speed and the continual lowering of cost, as set out on the published development path, leads any sensible person to only one view of what technology will be used by a considerable and increasing percentage of the market in the near and medium term. LTE/4G netorks in the US and EU are already providing much faster speeds than ADSL as can be seen here: http://delimiter.com.au/2011/06/07/telstra-doubles-bundled-data-quotas/ and these networks will rapidly grow in terms of areas serviced. Before the end of calendar 2011 the ABS statistics will almost certainly show that there are more wireless broadband users than ADSL users in Australia. This will simply mirror world statistics: http://www.infonetics.com/pr/2011/Fixed-and-Mobile-Subscribers-Market-Highlights.asp What those statistics won't immediately show is that it has taken only four years for that to have happened with wireless broadband having zero users in late 2007 with ADSL beginning to be available in late 2001. Statistics don't begin to tell the whole, or even in this instance, the 'real' story. As TPG has clearly demonstrated in the ADSL markets - price is a key determinant of acceptance of a service. When wireless broadband prices fell to near or below ADSL service prices (ignoring the cost of having to have a telephone line) a real, and ongoing, change began to happen in the data marketplaces. Just how that change will continue to develop is pretty clear but it won't be clear enough to some people for a while. One of the, many, mis-assumptions by Stupid Stephen's advisers allowed him to spit out in unguarded moment (during one of his uncounted fits of public pique) was his typical union thug response to a question on his assertion that 90% of people will take up the 'NBN2' was - "because they will have no choice because we will rip out all the copper". Typical thuggish response from a thug. But, oh dear, such crass stupidity and lack of understanding of both technology and marketplaces. By the time, if there ever is such a time, that Telstra is forced to "rip out its copper" all that will happen is that more people will change from using ADSL to wireless than will change from using ADSL to 'NBN2'....why?.....because wireless will be less expensive and more than adequate for probably over 60% of all possible customer's needs. (no not the copyright thieves nor the shoot em up games players - the 60% of honest people with lives). I could be quite wrong - I am on many occasions - but I doubt whether any real analysis exists of what will happen when/if PSTN is no longer available. Somehow I doubt that any such analysis has ever been done. Technology is inexorable. It doesn't stop developing just because a pea brained politician tries to grasp concepts that are totally beyond him/her. For those people who continue to mouth off about how wireless will "never" be anything it might be interesting for them to check wireless progress over the past thirty years....or even the last four? Copyright © Exetel Pty Ltd 2011
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While wireless speed will increase over time as technology improves, it will always lag behind latencies and speeds available via fixed line networks.
Remember the days of OTC and high latency phonecalls to the UK, bounced off numerous satellites along the way? I much prefer modern via fibre connections, low latency. Gotta have both really, I love mobile wireless broadband on my phone / ipad etc for while i'm not at home and even around the house on Wi-Fi, but I wouldn't want a wireless connection to my Desktop PC at home. Even the laptop gets plugged in when I need to do anything even remotely bandwidth intensive. Both technologies have their place, and i'll always have a combination of the two. Comment (1)
Why do you suggest that gamers are dishonest or have no lives? I am insulted.
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People who download a lot are almost certainly stealing copyright material and are therefore dishonest.
People who 'need' the lowest possible latency are almost certainly playing RPGs that involve shooting other humans and destroying infrastructure - not a sensible way of spending a life. I actually didn't think I linked the two categories. However both are pernicious activities in their different ways - one removes property from another entity without paying for it - the other wastes time building anti-social attitudes to life. Both are undesirable characteristics - in my opinion. Comments (6)
John
spend some time outside of Sydney and try and rely on your wireless connection, 24 hours a day!!! Every time I visit Sydney I "love" the Optus wireless connection I can get, but back here in Wollongong try using the wireless between 5 and 10pm and it is not reliable. So it is great to constantly hear that you can use it; it is great to hear the the four capital cities have Telstra LTE turned on, but give us a go outside the capital cities. Until that happens I can only 'rely' on a fixed line service, whether that be ADSL or ADSL2. Which will come first, reliable wireless or maybe one day fibre......not holding my breath for either. Lawrie Comment (1)
Lawrie,
My point is that over the last four years wireless has developed incredibly in terms of both cost and speed and that will continue. Comments (6)
I am with Lawrie on this one, I have used Optus & Telstra in various larger country towns in SA and Vic where there is no problem with signal level but the latency is massive and the speeds are lucky to top 1mbit/sec. I am talking Mildura, Cowes, Yarrawonga, Mansfield, Benalla & Shepparton in Victoria.
We are now stuck with Telstra because they have the remote coverage that we need to service our mining customers. Some of these locations haven't even heard of optus Comments (2)
Knocking other peoples hobbies is never cool. I can understand you not being a fan of online gaming, I would never expect our opinions to be the same. But I always try and be careful not to insult others by saying things they enjoy mean they have "no life". Even if I personally don't agree.
BTW: I do actually agree with you about illegal downloading. It really doesn't matter how much I disagree with a lot of current distribution models from film, tv and music companies. People are just kidding themselves if they think pirating content is somehow justified. Comment (1)
....a long time ago, in a galaxy far, far away...... the same statements were made about mobile telephony.
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A 'hobby' that involves pretend killing of human beings is pernicious and totally anti-social.
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Mr. Linton's view on time wasters are quite extreme. Everyone has his own definition of time waster, but it is an insult to force your standard to others.
I'm not a gamer but I would challange Mr. linton what your daily activity is not time waster? Do you watch Movie? TV? Music? Any form of arts? Aren't they time wasters? Do you drink? Go to a fine restuarant? Aren't they time wasters? You only need drink water to survive. By that standard, I think 99% of human activity are time wasters. Only survival and reproduction are worth being a life form. Anything else is time waster. Comment (1)
Then it's only a small step to saying that a lot of movies are the same. Everything from old westerns to modern action films. They very often of have people being killed for our entertainment.
And books (including the classics). Lots of novels have violence and death as part of the story. Again, this is just for our entertainment. I wouldn't have called everyone who likes to read anti-social and "no life". I may be wrong, and maybe you do not agree with these examples either and believe that we should all only read and watch non-violent things. But, if not, it still seems a tad harsh to criticise one form of entertainment (that you do not like) and accept another. Comment (1)
It is impossible for me to find anything beneficial in a human being spending any amount of time trying to kill pretend human beings.
Psychologically, in my opinion, it can only result in the individual who does such things becoming less human and more aggressive. Comments (6)
Looking at the various goals of LTE (all of which have been met), low latency is one of the first listed targets.
Sub 5ms from terminal to tower is the target, resulting in a better outcome than typical DSL services. Comment (1)
....and as the second article points out 11 ms is now being achieved on LTE.
Comments (6)
naivety
1. the state or quality of being naive; ingenuousness; simplicity 2. a naive act or statement Comments (2)
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