John Linton
.........continuing to lose credulous supporters?
As someone who set out the
HSPA 'solution' to the then proposed NBN1 I had a quiet chuckle at one
of the nay sayers of that time, getting on for two years ago,
completely changing their tune in this article:
http://www.smh.com.au/business/nbn-battle-goes-down-to-the-wire-20091125-jppw.html
It doesn't really matter what this particular "One of Australia's most respected telecommunications analysts" says or doesn't say all that matters is that you remember that what he previously said was totally wrong and it was based on no knowledge at all. I actually don't get where these media labels like "most respected" come from as they
are never credentialed and this particular analyst has little or no
knowledge of any sort of telecommunications technology and trends and it is doubtful that anyone "respects" him. His own words demonstrate that he knows nothing and deserves no respect:
"The ferocity of the shift from fixed line to wireless/mobile has again caught us by surprise."
and:
"Yet again, we have underestimated the pace of this shift," Mr Guerra said."
Mr
Guerra might have completely misunderstood the situation but it is very
certain that Telstra, as the most obvious example, didn't underestimate
it and Optus probably was only a year behind Telstra with only, by his
own admission, Mr Guerra (and the morons called the current Federal
government) not having the slightest clue about why HSPA would grow as
it did. Mind you Telstra, Optus and even me only had to read the EU and
Asian media to understand what impact HSPA and its follow ons were
going to have on wire line based broad band....it didn't take a lot of
research or a crystal ball to see what was going to happen.
Not
that any of that makes any difference to anything because irrespective
of how much inadequate people try and second guess technology it just
continues along its pre-ordained path (just like all of its
predecessors) and happens anyway. The current fools in Canberra want to
build a new publicly paid for network to replace all the current
networks for only one reason - Krudd needs to cover up his lies told to
win the last election for at least to the next election and to do that
he needs further obfuscation which his spin spivs have told him is to
threaten Telstra with break up so it doesn't occur to anybody that
Telstra already has a national broadband network that will do the job
for 'free' and that any network that doesn't have Telstra's subscribers
is never, but never ever, going to work.
Apart from that, as even
someone as uninformed as I was about HSPA two years ago knew, it was
obvious that the mobile carriers were going to continue to roll out
their wireless data networks and were going to continue to increase the
speeds, improve the latency and reduce the costs. LTE (more than two
years ago) had already been road mapped with delivery in many countries
well before the end of 2010. It was a planning time line in August 2008
but in late 2009 it looks like hitting or improving on those time
estimates. So since Krudd's first stupid pre-last election lie about
the now abandoned 'NBN1' the mobile carriers, as even 'blind Freddie'
could have seen at that time have continued to roll out and improve
their mobile data networks and have continued to make an 'NBN2" look an
even bigger white elephant even greater gargantuan proportions as each
month passes.
Now even the dummies who are otherwise described as
"most highly respected communications analysts" are backing down from
even their worthless support for Krudd's posturing. Big deal you may
well say...and you may well be correct in general terms. But the
reality is that Krudd and co are still, in their moronic stupidity,
playing around with Australia's key communications structures for the
sole purpose of covering up their gross stupidities and their
outrageous lies. It will be interesting to watch the worm wriggle on
the hook as he tries to talk his way out of his insane statements
between now and next June. so much useless iron waiting to rust.
In
the mean time, as Telstra stated, mobile customers now exceed wire line
customers and the real technology 'race' in Australia is to convert
each other's wire line telephone and data customers to the 4G networks
that will be deliverable in the not too distant future - DSLAMs are just expensive iron waiting to rust.